A new poll conducted by Dr. Mina Tzemach and Mano Geva of the Midgam Institute for the TV show "Meet the Press" shows MK Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid party nearly doubling its size, while the current coalition parties drop from their current collective total of 61 seats to just 57.
A minimum majority of 61 seats is required to form a coalition government in the 120 MK Knesset, meaning if the poll is accurate the current formation would be untenable in the next elections.
According to the poll, the Likud party would drop from its current 30 seats down to 26, while Yesh Atid would jump from its current 11 up to 19 mandates.
The Zionist Union would come in third after Yesh Atid, dropping sharply from 24 seats today down to just 18.
Meanwhile the Arab Joint List party – a collection of the three Arab parties which ran together for the first time in the last elections after the threshold percentage was raised by the government – would remain at 13 seats.
The Jewish Home party shows a slight increase according to the poll, going from eight seats to 11, but still is short of the 12 seats it secured in the 2013 elections. MK Avigdor Liberman's Yisrael Beytenu would grow from six mandates to eight.
Economy Minister Moshe Kahlon's Kulanu party meanwhile would drop from ten mandates down to just seven. United Torah Judaism is also projected to receive seven seats, up one from its current tally, while Shas would drop from seven down to six.
The far left Meretz party would retain its five mandates, still remaining not far from the recently raised threshold.
Just last Thursday Channel 2 reported that the heads of the parties classified as "centrist" and "right-wing" are planning a new initiative to force Likud to replace Binyamin Netanyahu if it wants to form the next coalition government, by not recommending him as prime minister to the president while remaining open to another Likud candidate for the role.