The bump presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump received after effectively clinching the nomination appears to have ended, according to recent polls.
Trump, who had surged in May following the withdrawal of rival GOP candidates Ted Cruz and John Kasich from the race, has lost ground to likely Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.
While the real estate mogul and reality TV star led Clinton in four head-to-head matchup polls in May, he trails her in each and every survey released in June.
While the two were in a statistical dead heat just a few weeks ago, Clinton has taken a sizable – though not insurmountable – lead over Trump in the past few days.
A Bloomberg poll released on Tuesday showed the former Secretary of State leading Trump by a whopping 12 points, 49 to 37. According to the RealClearPolitics average of polls, Clinton leads Trump by 5.6 points, after Trump led Clinton in late May by 0.2 points.
The Huffington Post rolling average of polls was only marginally better for Trump, showing the businessman trailing Clinton by 5.1 points on average, compared to 1.3 points in May.
What’s behind the sudden shift in the polls? Two factors are likely at work. First, Trump’s attacks on a Hispanic judge assigned to a class action lawsuit against Trump University, including insinuations that the judge’s Mexican heritage precluded him from ruling fairly on the case alienated even staunch Republicans.
Senior GOP officials rebuked the presidential nominee, with House Speaker Paul Ryan going so far as to call Trump’s attacks textbook racism.
A new ABC/Washington Post survey shows that since Trump’s attacks on Justice Gonzalo Curiel, his unfavorable ratings have risen sharply, jumping by double digits from 60% to 70%. With 7 out of 10 voters now viewing the GOP nominee unfavorably, Trump is well above even Clinton’s dangerously high unfavorability level of 55%.
Clinton has also benefitted in the polls from her own bounce after effectively clinching her party’s nomination after the final Super Tuesday vote on June 7th. With the nomination effectively removed from contention, Democrats have largely rallied behind the former First Lady.
Also, with Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders deprived of a plausible path to the nomination, Clinton has been free to concentrate her attacks on her general election rival.